The Effects of the Crisis in Afghanistan on Central Asia’s Energy Sector: A Risk Assessment

The OSCE Risk Assessment, "The Effects of the Crisis in Afghanistan on Central Asia’s Energy Sector," presents a comprehensive analysis of the implications of Afghanistan’s regime change for energy stakeholders in Central Asia and regional energy co-operation. It highlights key developments in Afghanistan's energy landscape since 2021, identifies ongoing and emergent risks for energy trade with Central Asia, and analyzes the prospects of key regional infrastructure projects such as TUTAP, TAP, CASA-1000, and TAPI. Hence, the study offers recommendations to practitioners from OSCE participating States on enhancing regional energy security and the well-being of the people in Central Asia and Afghanistan in the foreseeable future. The study was carried out within the framework of the OSCE project “Strengthening Energy Sector Co-operation and Analysis in Central Asia in the Context of Afghanistan’s Energy Crisis", funded by Germany and Sweden, and was created in close collaboration with Central Asian officials and experts to reflect their needs, priorities, and responses to the situation.